Glenrothes...

Hurrah!  It’s time for some more good old expectation management from Labour.  Now, in the past they have proved pretty bad at this, as their worst predictions have tended to be uncannily accurate.  Now, with the media narrative still obsessed with the Brown bounce, despite the lack of any hard evidence to support it, there’s just a chance that they might, might, manage to downplay expectations to an extent that they can survive even a defeat without losing their ‘resurgence’ narrative.

In truth, of course, they shouldn’t.  Glenrothes is about as safe a Labour seat as there is.  10,000 majorities should not be lost, even in a third term.  If they can’t win this one, where the hell can they win?

George W Bush’s staff famously talked about how they no longer worked in a reality-based environment – they constructed their own realities.  Brown and the Labour Party look like they’re doing much the same.  It will be interesting to see if it can survive an icy blast of old-fashioned external reality.